国际贸易网络中可能出现级联故障的可能性
Heesuk Kang1,2, Kyu-Min Lee3, Jae-Suk Yang1
1Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea.
PloS one
|March 1, 2024
概括
全球贸易网络对中断的敏感度越来越高,但由于脱全球化趋势,许多国家变得不那么脆弱. 隐藏的区域贸易联系显著影响全球供应链的稳定性.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
背景情况:
- 传统的贸易分析往往忽略了多步骤的交易,无法捕捉到全球供应链的全部复杂性.
- 了解国家影响力和复杂的贸易网络中故障传播对于经济稳定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在复杂的多国贸易场景中开发量化国家影响力的指标.
- 模拟基于代理模型的多步贸易网络中的故障传播.
- 分析1990-2022年的贸易数据,以确定全球贸易影响力和脆弱性的不断变化的模式.
主要方法:
- 基于代理的建模来模拟跨贸易网络的故障传播.
- 开发新的指标来量化国家在多阶段贸易中的影响.
- 对1990年至2022年国际贸易数据的分析.
主要成果:
- 随着时间的推移,对贸易量变化的敏感性越来越强,以及相互联系的增加.
- 尽管敏感性增加,但许多国家显示脆弱性减少,与脱全球化趋势保持一致.
- 拉丁美洲和撒哈拉以南非洲等地区之间存在显著的隐藏贸易互动,影响网络负载敏感性.
结论:
- 全球贸易网络呈现出越来越脆弱,但也增加了国家性.
- 脱全球化和保护主义正在重塑国际贸易中的影响力平衡.
- 隐藏的区域间贸易动态需要更细致的供应链风险评估方法.
相关概念视频
Multimachine Stability
153
Multimachine stability analysis is crucial for understanding the dynamics and stability of power systems with multiple synchronous machines. The objective is to solve the swing equations for a network of M machines connected to an N-bus power system.
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
153
Multiple Pipe Systems
752
Multipipe systems consist of complex configurations of interconnected pipes designed to transport fluids efficiently across intricate networks. They are essential in engineering applications requiring precise control over flow distribution, pressure, and head loss. They are categorized into series, parallel, loop, and network configurations, each distinguished by unique flow characteristics and applications.
Series Configuration
In a series configuration, fluid flows sequentially from one pipe...
Series Configuration
In a series configuration, fluid flows sequentially from one pipe...
752
Bus Impedance Matrix
120
Calculating subtransient fault currents for three-phase faults in an N-bus power system involves using the positive-sequence network. When a three-phase short circuit occurs at a specific bus, the analysis uses the superposition method to evaluate two separate circuits.
In the first circuit, all machine voltage sources are short-circuited, leaving only the prefault voltage source at the fault location. The positive-sequence bus impedance matrix can be determined by solving the nodal equations,...
In the first circuit, all machine voltage sources are short-circuited, leaving only the prefault voltage source at the fault location. The positive-sequence bus impedance matrix can be determined by solving the nodal equations,...
120
Fatigue
181
Fatigue occurs when materials rupture under repeated or fluctuating loads, even at stress levels far below their static breaking strength. It typically results in brittle failure, even for ductile materials. It is a critical consideration in designing machines and structural components subjected to repetitive or varying loads. The nature of these loadings can range from fluctuating loads like unbalanced pump impellers causing vibrations to repeatedly bending a thin steel rod wire back and forth...
181
Power System Three-Phase Short Circuits
84
Determining the subtransient fault current in a power system involves representing transformers by their leakage reactances, transmission lines by their equivalent series reactances, and synchronous machines as constant voltage sources behind their subtransient reactances. In this analysis, certain elements are excluded, such as winding resistances, series resistances, shunt admittances, delta-Y phase shifts, armature resistance, saturation, saliency, non-rotating impedance loads, and small...
84
Maximum Power Flow and Line Loadability
111
The maximum power flow for lossy transmission lines is derived using ABCD parameters in phasor form. These parameters create a matrix relationship between the sending-end and receiving-end voltages and currents, allowing the determination of the receiving-end current. This relationship facilitates calculating the complex power delivered to the receiving end, from which real and reactive power components are derived.
111


