从古地震记录进行地震预测

Ting Wang1, Jonathan D Griffin2, Marco Brenna3

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, Dunedin, 9016, New Zealand. ting.wang@otago.ac.nz.

Nature communications
|March 2, 2024
PubMed
概括

预测大地震需要比较统计模型. 贝叶斯模型平均化通过计算数据不确定性来改善预测,提供更好的地震危险评估.