相关实验视频
Updated: Jul 1, 2025

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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参与性因果循环图构建,以支持决策者将洪水风险管理纳入城市再生过程
Virginia R Coletta1,2, Alessandro Pagano2, Irene Pluchinotta3
1Department of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry Polytechnic University of Bari Bari Italy.
概括
本研究引入了城市洪水风险管理的新框架,将城市发展与洪水风险相结合. 它帮助决策者了解复杂的城市系统减缓策略的多维好处.
科学领域:
- 城市规划和环境管理
- 系统动态和风险评估
- 社会技术系统分析分析
背景情况:
- 目前的洪水风险模型不足以捕捉城市的复杂性和不确定性.
- 这种限制阻碍了有效的洪水风险管理和城市再生规划.
- 现有的工具往往无法解释城市发展和洪水风险之间的相互作用.
研究的目的:
- 提出城市再生规划的创新方法框架.
- 支持决策者评估洪水风险和管理策略的多维影响.
- 在复杂的城市系统中,将城市发展动态与洪水风险评估相结合.
主要方法:
- 利用系统思维原则和参与式系统动态建模.
- 综合科学知识与利益相关者的专业知识.
- 将框架应用于伦敦泰斯米德的一个案例研究,重点关注城市再生和洪水脆弱性.
主要成果:
- 展示了一种可复制的建模方法,用于整合城市发展和洪水风险.
- 强调通过综合战略实现多维利益 (环境,社会,经济) 的潜力.
- 提供了对城市系统中的复杂互连和洪水风险的见解.
结论:
- 拟议的框架通过考虑系统复杂性,提高了城市再生中的洪水风险管理.
- 它支持基于证据的决策,以有效的缓解和预防措施.
- 该方法为实现可持续的城市发展提供了一条途径,可以抵御洪水风险.
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