成功驱动的意见形成决定了社会紧张局势
Manuel Chica1,2, Matjaž Perc3,4,5,6, Francisco C Santos7
1Andalusian Research Institute DaSCI "Data Science and Computational Intelligence", University of Granada, 18071 Granada, Spain.
iScience
|March 6, 2024
概括
这项研究揭示了个人在社会困境中的成功,而不仅仅是媒体或意识形态,推动了两极分化. 游戏强调惩罚而不是贪,如猎,减少意见碎片化,而那些奖励叛逃,如囚犯.
科学领域:
- 社会动态和论形成
- 进化的游戏理论和决策.
背景情况:
- 两极分化在公众论和政治中普遍存在,受媒体,意识形态和错误信息的影响.
- 微观动态和社会紧张局势和两极分化根本的起源仍然不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 通过将意见形成与社会困境策略联系起来,研究推动两极分化的微观机制.
- 探索战略互动中个人层面的成功如何转化为全球共识或分裂.
主要方法:
- 在既定的社会困境游戏 (猎人,囚犯困境,雪地漂流) 中,将意见形成模型与战略选择相结合.
- 分析了游戏结构 (贪与惩罚) 对意见碎片化和共识形成的影响.
主要成果:
- 在猎鹿游戏中,意见的碎片化被最小化了,在那里,叛逃意味着没有贪的惩罚.
- 在囚犯困境和雪地游戏中,达成共识更难,在那里,叛逃提供了更高的回报,并唤起了贪.
- 在对对进化比较中的个人成功可能是社会紧张局势的根本驱动因素.
结论:
- 社会紧张和两极分化可能源于个人层面的基本原则,挑战自上而下的解释.
- 社会困境的结构,特别是贪和惩罚之间的平衡,显著影响了论的动态.
- 了解个人战略选择对于理解大规模社会两极分化至关重要.
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