能源和社会因素的分解,以确定阻碍新兴国家的可持续环境转型的驱动因素:利用LMDI分析进行SDGs-2030进展评估
Qi Gao1, Nida Raza2, Dandan Sun3
1School of Business Administration and Customs Affairs, Shanghai Customs College, Shanghai, 201204, China.
概括
人口增长和经济活动对环境可持续性产生重大影响. 转向高效,低强度的能源和可持续的人口结构提供了一个可行的环境保护途径.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 实现环境可持续性需要平衡人类增长,经济繁荣和碳化合物能源消耗.
- 复杂的相互依赖需要研究这种平衡的可行策略.
研究的目的:
- 在主要经济体中确定推动环境可持续性的关键因素.
- 分析人口,经济活动和能源消耗之间的相互作用.
主要方法:
- 逻辑平均除法指数 (LMDI) 用于分解影响因素.
- 分析涵盖了活动,经济,实际密度,能源强度和1999-2022年的郊区影响.
主要成果:
- 人口和经济活动被确定为环境波动的主要驱动因素.
- 能源消耗对碳化合物形式产生负面影响,但当高效和低强度时,会对可持续性产生积极影响.
结论:
- 可持续的人口和能源转型对于环境可持续性至关重要.
- 这些转型为发展中国家经济实现环境目标提供了领先的途径.
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