通过固体废物发电来管理低碳转型途径
Muhammad Amir Raza1,2, M M Aman2, Ghulam Abbas3
1Department of Electrical Engineering, Mehran University of Engineering and Technology, SZAB Campus, Khairpur Mir's, 66020, Sindh, Pakistan.
Scientific reports
|March 6, 2024
概括
利用固体废物发电为巴基斯坦提供能源安全和大气恢复. 固体废物项目40%的增长率将可再生能源大幅提升至95.2%,到2053年减少二氧化碳排放.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可再生能源技术可再生能源技术
背景情况:
- 固体废物是一个可行的可再生能源,对能源安全和减少对化石燃料的依赖至关重要.
- 巴基斯坦严重依赖煤炭,可以从废物能源解决方案中受益,以获得稳定的电力供应和改善空气质量.
- 转向替代能源对于减轻气候变化影响和实现大气恢复至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 使用低排放分析平台 (LEAP) 模拟巴基斯坦的能源系统.
- 从2023年到2053年,根据各种固体废物转化为能源的增长率 (20%,30%,40%) 预测资本成本和二氧化碳排放.
- 评估基于固体废物发电的最佳增长率,以最大限度地提高可再生能源的贡献并最大限度地减少排放.
主要方法:
- 使用低排放分析平台 (LEAP) 进行能源系统模拟.
- 预测能源需求,资本成本和二氧化碳排放.
- 基于固体废物电力项目的20%,30%和40%的年增长率的场景分析.
主要成果:
- 预计总能源发电量为1402.97 TWh,到2053年满足1193.93 TWh的需求.
- 到2053年,固体废物电力占比从0.81% (2023) 增加到9.44% (20%的增长),39.67% (30%的增长) 和78.33% (40%的增长).
- 在40%的增长率下,可再生能源达到能源组合的95.2%,化石燃料占4.47%,二氧化碳排放量从148.26万降至35.46万,尽管资本成本增加到363.11亿美元.
结论:
- 基于固体废物发电项目的40%的增长率是巴基斯坦到2053年的最佳增长率.
- 这一战略提高了能源安全,显著增加了可再生能源的份额,并大大减少了二氧化碳排放.
- 虽然资本成本上升,但将废物转化为能源优先考虑的环境和能源安全益处超过了金融投资.
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