揭示城市化,农村物流和碳排放的动态:基于中国经验数据的研究
1China Grand Canal Research Institute, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China.
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
|March 8, 2024
概括
中国的快速城市化和农村物流发展对碳排放产生了重大影响,显示出非线性关系. 了解这些动态对于可持续发展政策至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市研究 城市研究
- 物流和供应链管理的物流和供应链管理.
背景情况:
- 全球越来越重视可持续发展.
- 需要了解城市化,农村物流和碳排放之间的复杂相互作用.
- 在研究三方关系及其对可持续发展的影响方面,现有的文献缺陷.
研究的目的:
- 研究中国快速城市化,农村物流发展和碳动态之间的相互作用.
- 检查三方关系及其对可持续发展的集体影响.
- 探索动态交互机制及其对可持续性的共同影响.
主要方法:
- 建立了一个理论框架,捕捉相互依存和约束.
- 开发并结合了使用关键定量指标的复杂非线性模型.
- 由于模型的复杂性和动态性,用于参数估计的遗传算法.
- 使用来自中国 (1991-2021) 的数据进行实证测试.
主要成果:
- 验证了模型在捕捉交互的有效性.
- 证明城市建设显著推动农村物流发展.
- 发现城市化,农村物流发展 (4.2的拉动效应) 和碳排放增长之间明显的非线性关系.
结论:
- 强调了农村和城市发展与环境管理之间的微妙平衡.
- 为农村环境中可持续的政策框架提供理论支持.
- 建立了对这些相互连接的动态的未来研究的基础.
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