[在碳峰值和中和化目标下,河南省电力行业的煤炭控制和碳减排路径:中长期研究]
Jing Zhang1,2, Meng Yang3, Wei Zhang1,2
1State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Planning and Policy Simulation, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Beijing 100012, China.
Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue
|March 12, 2024
概括
河南省 河南省
科学领域:
- 电力系统分析 分析 分析
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
背景情况:
- 河南省的电力行业对于实现省的碳峰值和碳中和目标至关重要.
- 该省面临着日益严重的能源供需紧张局势,原因是省际能源依赖度很高.
研究的目的:
- 根据"双碳"目标,分析河南电力行业的煤炭减排和碳减排途径.
- 确定有效的控制煤炭消耗和减少碳排放的战略.
主要方法:
- 在场景研究中使用了碳排放-能源综合模型 (iCEM).
- 优化电源结构和技术进步的评估影响.
主要成果:
- 河南电力行业的碳排放量预计将在2028-2033年之间达到峰值.
- 在"第14个五年计划"期间,煤炭消费量将继续上升,与2020年相比,峰值值显著增加.
- 内陆核电和加强省际输电被确定为关键解决方案.
结论:
- 需要采取多方面的方法,包括开发清洁能源,提高能源效率和市场改革.
- 对外部电力供应和系统灵活性进行战略规划至关重要.
- 内陆核电发展和区域间电网协调对于长期脱碳至关重要.
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