北北极湿地甲排放量因变暖和植被活动而调节
Kunxiaojia Yuan1, Fa Li2, Gavin McNicol3
1Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Climate Sciences Department, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA USA.
概括
由于变暖和植物生长的增加,北极北极湿地甲排放量正在增加. 目前的模型低估了这些显著的温室气体增加,可能会影响未来的气候预测.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 在北极北极地区的湿地甲排放是关键的气候反,但它们的长期动态不太清楚.
- 这些排放对气候变化敏感,需要准确的长期评估.
研究的目的:
- 扩大和分析二十年 (2002-2021) 的北极湿地甲排放量.
- 确定该地区甲排放趋势和变化的驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 编制了一套广泛的数据集,包括旋共变率和室内观测.
- 从2002年到2021年升级和分析的甲 (CH4) 排放数据.
主要成果:
- 观察到湿地甲排放的显著上升趋势 (+8.9%),年际差异很大.
- 排放量的增加集中在夏季初,主要是由变暖 (52.3%) 和生态系统生产率 (40.7%) 推动的.
- 2016年2°C的温度异常导致了创纪录的高甲排放 (22.3 Tg CH4 yr-1),特别是来自西西伯利亚.
结论:
- 目前的气候模型,包括来自全球碳计划的气候模型,无法准确地捕捉北极湿地甲排放的规模和趋势.
- 模型低估这些排放可能导致对未来气候变化影响的偏见预测,特别是考虑到北极变暖和绿化放大.
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