谁会被遗弃的地方留在后面?
Dylan S Connor1, Aleksander K Berg1, Tom Kemeny2
1Arizona State University, School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Lattie F. Coor Hall, 975 S Myrtle Ave, Tempe, Arizona 85281, USA.
概括
在经济不利地区长大的孩子面临着成人社会流动性的减少. 在"落后"的地方长大,无论是长期还是最近,都会降低成年人的收入排名,突出显示持续的经济痕效应.
科学领域:
- 社会经济研究是社会经济研究.
- 城市和区域经济学
- 儿童发展和社会流动性
背景情况:
- 经济差异对儿童未来的机会造成了重大挑战.
- 了解地方经济衰退的长期影响对于政策制定至关重要.
- 社会流动性受到个人,家庭和社区因素的复杂相互作用的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查成长在"落后"的地方与成年人的社会流动性之间的关联.
- 区分长期与最近下降地区对儿童经济成果的影响.
- 量化基于地方的经济困难对代际收入流动性的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用纵向数据库追踪了20,000多个美国地点,从1980年到2018年.
- 根据历史和最近的经济状况确定和分类"落后"的地方.
- 采用统计分析来比较暴露于不同地方经济轨迹的个人成年收入等级,控制基线家庭收入.
主要成果:
- 暴露在"落后"的地方与成人收入排名相比,与类似的基线收入水平相比,收入排名下降了4个百分点.
- 经济状况改善的地区的儿童经历了更好的结果.
- 负面影响在困难加重的地区和邻近的困难地区得到放大.
结论:
- "落后"的地方给孩子们带来"伤痕效应",阻碍他们长期的社会流动.
- 这些基于地点的劣势加剧了低收入家庭的代际挑战.
- 当地的经济改善或外迁可能无法完全缓解与"落后"地区相关的持续不便.
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