"长期COVID"是否增加了美国的道路死亡人数?
1Environmental Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA leon.robertson@yale.edu.
概括
累积的COVID-19病例与美国道路死亡人数的增加有关,但由于汽油价格上,道路死亡人数减少抵消了这一点. 持续的COVID-19神经效应可能会影响驾驶行为.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 运输安全运输安全
背景情况:
- 从2020年到2021年,美国道路死亡人数增加了10%.
- 由于COVID-19的流行,它可能通过压力和神经效应影响了驾驶行为.
研究的目的:
- 调查COVID-19疾病与美国道路死亡人数增加之间的关联.
- 探索与流行病相关的压力和神经损伤对道路死亡事故的潜在影响.
主要方法:
- 普森回归分析被用来模拟2021年美国各州每月的道路死亡人数.
- 分析的因素包括最近和累积的COVID-19病例,最高温度,卡车注册和汽油价格.
- 从2020年到2021年风险因素的变化被用来计算预期死亡.
主要成果:
- 累积的COVID-19病例与道路死亡有显著的关联,而同时发生的病例则没有.
- 超过20700起道路死亡与累计COVID-19病例的变化有关.
- 汽油价格上与预计死亡人数减少约19,100人有关,部分抵消了COVID-19的影响.
结论:
- 长期存在的COVID-19的神经效应可能是导致危险驾驶行为的一个因素.
- 该研究强调了大流行,经济因素和道路安全之间的复杂相互作用.
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