"不可燃油地图"为供给侧气候政策提供了不可燃油的地图
Lorenzo Pellegrini1, Murat Arsel1, Gorka Muñoa2,3
1International Institute of Social Studies (ISS), Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Hague, the Netherlands.
Nature communications
|March 15, 2024
概括
为了将全球变暖限制在1.5°C,大量的石油资源必须保持未燃烧. 生物多样性热点和土著领土等敏感区域重叠609千兆桶石油,可以保护其免受开采.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 资源管理 资源管理
背景情况:
- 全球平均气温上升必须限制在1.5°C以避免严重的气候变化影响.
- 实现这一目标需要大幅减少二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放.
- 现有的煤炭,常规天然气和石油资源的大量部分必须保持不燃烧.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个综合空间评估模型,用于识别不可燃油资源.
- 通过将资源估计与社会环境标准相结合,构建一个不可燃油的全球地图集.
- 为选择不可燃化石燃料资源提供空间指导方针,同时最大限度地提高社会环境效益.
主要方法:
- 使用的估计和常规石油资源的位置.
- 纳入的社会环境标准,包括生物多样性热点,特有物种丰富,保护区,城市区和土著领土.
- 开发了一种综合空间评估模型,用于绘制重叠资源和敏感区域的地图.
主要成果:
- 在生物多样性热点,保护区,城市区和土著领土内确定了609千兆桶 (Gbbl) 的传统石油资源.
- 确定1524 Gbbl的常规石油资源必须保持未开发,以实现1.5°C的目标.
- 证明所有已识别的社会环境敏感区域都可以被排除在石油开采之外.
结论:
- 空间评估模型有效地识别了不可燃烧的石油资源.
- 保护敏感的社会环境区域与气候减缓目标相一致,通过保护大量的石油储量.
- 该模型为战略化石燃料资源管理提供了一个框架,增强了环境和社会共同利益.
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