全球犯罪重犯率:六年系统审查更新
Denis Yukhnenko1, Leen Farouki1, Seena Fazel1
1Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Warneford Lane, OX3 7JX Oxford, UK.
概括
由于个人和国家层面的因素,国际重犯率有很大差异. 系统性审查强调需要考虑这些变化,以便准确地比较重犯行为.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 公共政策 公共政策
背景情况:
- 直接比较跨司法管辖区的重犯率往往是误导性的,因为没有解决的差异.
- 了解重犯的国际差异对于有效的刑事司法政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查国际重复犯罪数据.
- 探索和识别不同国家之间犯罪复发率变化的来源.
主要方法:
- 自2019年年中以来,对同行评审和灰色文献进行系统搜索.
- 提取关于重犯,重入狱和重逮捕的数据.
- 进行元回归分析,以评估国家层面影响重复犯罪的因素.
主要成果:
- 来自33个国家的重犯数据显示,被释放的囚犯的两年重刑率为18-55%,社区被判刑的个人为10-47%.
- 再犯率与指数犯罪比例和国家一级因素 (谋杀,抢劫,监禁率) 相对相关.
- 在COVID-19期间,较低的重犯率与刑事司法中断和机会减少有关.
结论:
- 解释国际重犯率需要考虑个人和国家特定因素.
- 对影响因素的透明报告对于准确的跨司法管辖区分析至关重要.
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