比较随机截取交叉滞后面板模型和单胞胎双胞胎差异交叉滞后面板模型的研究结果:不适应的家长和后代的情绪和行为问题
Marie-Louise J Kullberg1, Charlotte C Van Schie1,2,3, Andrea G Allegrini4,5
1Institute of Clinical Psychology Leiden University Leiden The Netherlands.
JCPP advances
|March 15, 2024
概括
通过比较两个统计模型,即单双双子差异交叉滞后面板模型 (MZD-CLPM) 和随机截取交叉滞后面板模型 (RI-CLPM),揭示了分析儿童行为和育儿方面的细微差别. 在这两种模型中,9岁时的行为问题预测了12岁时的不适应性育儿.
科学领域:
- 发展心理学 发展心理学
- 行为遗传学 行为遗传学
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 交叉滞后面板模型 (CLPM) 用于推断随时间变量之间的因果关系.
- 一双胞胎差异交叉滞后面板模型 (MZD-CLPM) 和随机截取交叉滞后面板模型 (RI-CLPM) 是先进的方法,旨在通过考虑未测量的混来加强因果推理.
- 了解不适应的家长和孩子的情绪/行为问题之间的相互作用对于发育研究至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较MZD-CLPM和RI-CLPM在同一个数据集上应用时的结果和因果推断能力.
- 为了检查异卵双胞胎中不适应的育儿与儿童情绪和行为问题之间的纵向关联.
- 阐明每个模型在控制未测量的混方面的具体优势和局限性.
主要方法:
- 来自双胞胎早期发育研究 (TEDS) 的5698名同卵双胞胎的儿童报告数据的分析.
- 使用标准的CLPM进行基线比较.
- 实施和比较MZD-CLPM和RI-CLPM,以评估不适应的家长与儿童问题之间的影响的方向性.
主要成果:
- 无论是MZD-CLPM还是RI-CLPM,都表明9岁儿童的行为问题预测了12岁儿童的不适应性育儿.
- 其他交叉滞后的关联在两种模型中都没有持续显著,尽管大多数估计显示了类似的方向趋势.
- 这些模型的不同之处在于它们能够解释特定的未测量混源,从而影响对交叉滞后效应的解释.
结论:
- 这些发现强调了仔细考虑不同统计模型假设和混控制的重要性.
- 解释MZD-CLPM和RI-CLPM的结果时需要细微差别,因为它们处理未测量的差异的方法不同.
- 研究人员应该意识到每个CLPM变体可以和不能控制什么,以便得出有关因果关系的适当结论.
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