我们永远不会有一个人工智能少将的模型:人工智能,指挥决策和战争的奇特愿景
Cameron Hunter1, Bleddyn E Bowen1
1School of History, Politics and International Relations, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
概括
军事人工智能 (AI) 可能不适合做指挥决策. 当前的人工智能使用归纳逻辑,而战争需要吸收逻辑,限制AI.
科学领域:
- 军事战略 军事战略 军事战略
- 人工智能的人工智能是人工智能.
- 认知科学是一种认知科学.
背景情况:
- 对军事人工智能 (AI) 的乐观预测表明,它可以用于指挥和控制.
- 目前的人工智能,主要是机器学习或狭义的人工智能,运行在归纳逻辑上.
研究的目的:
- 挑战军事AI在指挥决策中的适用性背后的基本假设.
- 突出AI能力与战争性质之间的逻辑不兼容性.
主要方法:
- 逻辑框架的比较分析:抽取逻辑 (战争) 与诱导逻辑 (机器学习).
- 检查当前AI在复杂,不可预测环境中的固有局限性.
主要成果:
- 战争需要绑架推理,这与狭窄的人工智能使用的诱导推理不同.
- 人工智能在指挥角色中的局限性是其逻辑结构固有的,无法通过增加数据或计算能力来解决.
- 在国防和政府领导人中,有关人工智能和战争的误解存在.
结论:
- 目前的人工智能根本不适合军事指挥和控制,原因是不同的逻辑基础.
- 过度依赖人工智能进行军事决策是基于关于人工智能能力和战争性质的错误前提.
- 需要对人工智能在国防中的作用进行批判性重新评估,超越简单的乐观主义.
相关概念视频
Introduction to Cognitive Psychology
480
Cognitive psychology is the field of psychology dedicated to examining how people think. It attempts to explain how and why we think the way we do by studying the interactions among human thinking, emotion, creativity, language, and problem-solving, as well as other cognitive processes. Cognitive psychology studies how information is processed and manipulated in remembering, thinking, and knowing.
This field emerged in the mid-20th century, following a period dominated by behaviorism, which...
This field emerged in the mid-20th century, following a period dominated by behaviorism, which...
480
Non-equilibrium in the Cell
4.4K
An important concept in studying metabolism and energy is that of chemical equilibrium. Most chemical reactions are reversible. They can proceed in both directions, releasing energy into their environment in one direction, and absorbing it from the environment in the other direction. The same is true for the chemical reactions involved in cell metabolism, such as the breaking down and building up of proteins into and from individual amino acids, respectively. Reactants within a closed system...
4.4K
Stereotype Content Model
14.7K
The Stereotype Content Model (SCM) was first proposed by Susan Fiske and her colleagues (Fiske, Cuddy, Glick & Xu, 2002; see also Fiske, 2012 and Fiske, 2017). The SCM specifies that when someone encounters a new group, they will stereotype them based on two metrics: warmth—or that group’s perceived intent, and how likely they are to provide help or inflict harm—and competence—or their ability to carry out that objective. Depending on the warmth-competence...
14.7K
Reason and Intuition
6.4K
The human brain processes information for decision-making using one of two routes: an intuitive system and a rational system (Epstein, 1994; popularized by Kahneman, 2011 as System 1 and System 2, respectively). The intuitive system is quick, impulsive, and operates with minimal effort, relying on emotions or habits to provide cues for what to do next, while the rational system is logical, analytical, deliberate, and methodical. Research in neuropsychology suggests that the...
6.4K
Decision Making
109
Decision-making is a fundamental cognitive process that involves evaluating alternatives and selecting among them. This process can range from simple choices, such as deciding what to wear, to complex decisions, like choosing a major in college or a career path. The complexity of the decision often dictates the approach we use, which can be broadly categorized into two types: automatic and controlled decision-making.
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
109
Intelligence
7.4K
The term "intelligence" is complex because it refers to both behavior and individuals, and its interpretation varies across cultures. European Americans tend to link intelligence with reasoning and cognitive skills, while in Kenya, it is tied to responsible participation in family and social life. In Uganda, intelligence is seen as the ability to know the right actions and carry them out effectively, while the Iatmul people of Papua New Guinea associate it with the capacity to remember...
7.4K


