使用更高阶物品响应理论和机器学习模型预测认知障碍
Lihua Yao1, Yusuke Shono2, Cindy Nowinski1
1Department of Medical Social Sciences, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, United States.
Frontiers in psychiatry
|March 18, 2024
概括
机器学习模型改善了对老年人认知障碍 (CI) 的早期检测. 将高阶物品响应理论 (HOIRT) 评分与年龄等特征集成,可以比固定切断值更有效地预测.
科学领域:
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 医疗保健中的人工智能
背景情况:
- 早期发现认知障碍 (CI) 对老年人的福祉至关重要.
- 现有的方法在识别CI个体时可能缺乏准确性.
- 验证的认知评估对于可靠的评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 探索机器学习 (ML) 模型,以提高CI的预测.
- 评估将更高阶物体响应理论 (HOIRT) 与 ML 整合的有效性.
- 确定老年人CI检测的最佳预测特征.
主要方法:
- 使用了两种NIH工具箱基于iPad的测量方法:图片序列记忆 (PSM) 和维度变化卡排序测试 (DCCS).
- 开发了一个2参数HOIRT模型,以创建一个综合得分,整合PSM和DCCS.
- 对比了包括Random Forest在内的各种ML模型,以预测86名患者的CI.
主要成果:
- 随机森林模型实现了高性能:准确度为0.902,精度为0.803,回忆率为0.758,F1得分为0.742,特异性为0.951.
- 性能最好的模型将HOIRT衍生的复合分数和年龄作为关键特征.
- 一个固定的复合分数截止值被发现不足以准确预测CI.
结论:
- 机器学习模型,特别是随机森林,显示出对预测CI的重大承诺.
- 将HOIRT衍生得分和相关的临床特征 (例如年龄) 整合起来,可以提高预测准确度.
- 这种方法为老年人早期CI检测和干预提供了更有效的策略.
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