在太空飞行中评估人类系统风险的因果图
Erik Antonsen1, Robert J Reynolds2, Jacqueline Charvat2
1Center for Space Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA. erik.antonsen@bcm.edu.
NPJ microgravity
|March 20, 2024
概括
美国宇航局跟踪宇航员健康风险,使用因果图 (DAG) 来更好地理解和管理太空飞行挑战. 这种方法改善了沟通,并为加强宇航员安全创造了一个统一的风险网络.
科学领域:
- 航空航天医学 航空航天医学
- 人类因素工程 人类因素工程
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 十多年来,NASA已经管理了30名宇航员的健康和性能风险.
- 人类系统风险委员会 (HSRB) 根据证据制定风险态度并更新风险态度.
- 宇航员同时面临多种风险,需要采用整体方法.
研究的目的:
- 评估因果图 (DAG) 以了解复杂的太空飞行风险.
- 改善沟通,并为HSRB的利益相关者创建一个共同的风险心理模型.
- 开发一种数据驱动的方法来管理宇航员健康风险.
主要方法:
- 使用因果图,专门指向的非循环图 (DAG).
- 应用DAG可视化太空飞行诱导的人类系统风险的因果流.
- 在HSRB框架内试点使用DAG.
主要成果:
- DAG 促进了利益相关者对风险因果关系的共同理解.
- 能够创建一个复合风险网络来跟踪和管理.
- 提供了对试点过程和经验教训的见解.
结论:
- 因果图显示了提高宇航员风险管理的前景.
- 未来的目标包括推进数据驱动的风险管理策略.
- 该HSRB的目标是通过综合风险分析来提高宇航员的安全.
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