对NEOM海岸线的石油泄漏风险分析
H V R Mittal1,2, Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud3, Ana K Carrasco1
1Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), 23955-6900, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia.
Scientific reports
|March 20, 2024
概括
本研究使用MOHID模型分析了沿NEOM海岸线的石油泄漏风险. 它识别了高风险来源,并量化了潜在的石油浅和到达时间,这对于减缓计划至关重要.
科学领域:
- 海洋环境风险评估 海洋环境风险评估
- 海洋学建模和仿真
背景情况:
- 尼奥姆海岸线是海上交通繁忙的关键区域,需要对漏油风险进行评估.
- 了解石油泄漏的动态对于红海地区的环境保护和应对计划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 进行对来自NEOM海岸线附近各种来源的潜在石油泄漏的综合风险分析.
- 模拟石油泄漏的演变,并从海上的石油量和到达时间来量化风险.
- 确定石油泄漏风险的主要来源,并为NEOM沿海地区的减轻策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用红海高分辨率海洋数据驱动的MOHID模型进行石油泄漏模拟.
- 在五年内对每个源进行了180次模拟,涵盖了不同的释放时间和大海变化.
- 进行了详细的海岸线细分和反向分析,以评估累积风险并确定关键子区域.
主要成果:
- 模拟显示,漏油到达时间 (不到一周至两周以上) 和沙油量 (50%至80%以上) 的月度变化很大.
- 确定了对NEOM海岸线构成最高风险的特定释放源位置.
- 混乱的循环,西北风 (夏季) 和占主导地位的旋风 (冬季) 影响石油运输动态.
结论:
- 结果突出了主要的漏油风险来源和NEOM海岸线沿线潜在事件的严重性.
- 为部署有效的缓解和应对行动提供关键的时间框架信息.
- 该研究为NEOM地区的环境管理和安全协议提供了必要的数据.
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