环境臭氧污染对全球疾病负担的影响:对全球疾病负担的系统分析 2019年研究
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui 230032, China.
The Science of the total environment
|March 20, 2024
概括
环境臭氧污染对全球健康造成重大损失,在2019年导致数百万死亡和残疾调整寿命年 (DALYs). 预测表明,在未来25年内,臭氧暴露导致的疾病负担将继续增加.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 环境臭氧污染是全球死亡率和发病率的主要风险因素.
- 这项研究全面评估了全球因臭氧暴露而产生的疾病负担.
研究的目的:
- 评估2019年环境臭氧污染造成的全球疾病负担.
- 分析臭氧相关疾病负担的时间趋势和区域差异.
- 用年龄-时期-队列模型预测未来的疾病负担.
主要方法:
- 全球和2019年按子类型计算的死亡和残疾调整寿命年 (DALYs).
- 利用线性回归来分析1990-2019年的趋势.
- 采用区域模式的集群分析和年龄周期队列 (APC/BAPC) 模型进行未来预测.
主要成果:
- 在2019年,臭氧污染在全球造成了365,222人死亡和6,210,145人DALY.
- 疾病负担随着年龄的增长而增加,不成比例地影响男性和中低SDI地区.
- 从1990年到2019年,与臭氧相关的死亡和DALY显著增加,预计到2044年将进一步增加.
结论:
- 环境臭氧污染对全球公共健康构成重大和日益严重的威胁.
- 针对特定的全球情况而定制的有效,主动的战略对于减轻这种负担至关重要.
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