在英格兰的当地地区潜在的无烟红利:横截面分析
Damon Morris1,2, Duncan Gillespie3,2, Martin J Dockrell2,4
1Sheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Tobacco control
|March 20, 2024
概括
如果所有吸烟者都戒烟,英国的当地经济每年可以获得超过100亿英的收益. 这一显著的无烟红利在低收入地区更大,可能减少经济不平等.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生经济学 公共卫生经济学
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 戒烟的社会经济影响
背景情况:
- "无烟红利"代表了当地经济体从前吸烟者的储蓄中获得的经济价值.
- 了解这种红利的分配对于评估戒烟倡议的经济影响至关重要.
- 本研究研究了英国各地的无烟红利及其与平均收入的关系.
研究的目的:
- 估计英国各地当地无烟红利的年度经济价值.
- 分析无烟红利与这些地区的平均收入水平之间的相关性.
- 探索戒烟的潜力,以减轻地理和经济不平等.
主要方法:
- 一项横截面分析利用了18721名成年吸烟者的吸烟工具包研究 (STS) (20142020) 的数据.
- 来自STS的烟草支出数据因报告不足而被调整,以与政府税收和非法烟草估计相一致.
- 无烟分红的计算方法是使用93%的合法烟草支出和100%的非法烟草支出.
主要成果:
- 据估计,英国的无烟红利总额为每年109亿英.
- 这相当于每名吸烟者1776英或每名成年人246英.
- 在当地地区平均收入和每个成年人的股息之间发现了显著的负相关性 (r = -0.521),这表明收入较低的地区的股息更大.
结论:
- 广泛戒烟可以为英格兰的当地经济带来巨大的经济效益.
- 在低收入地区,无烟红利不成比例地大.
- 戒烟干预措施可以作为减少地理经济差异的工具.
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