沼泽恢复对于降低城市河口洪水风险的价值
Rae Taylor-Burns1, Christopher Lowrie2, Babak Tehranirad3
1University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA. rtaylorb@ucsc.edu.
Scientific reports
|March 22, 2024
概括
投资于沼泽恢复以适应沿海气候提供了显著的财务回报,随着海平面上升而增加. 这些以自然为基础的解决方案为脆弱社区提供了大量的防洪效益.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 沿海生态 沿海生态
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
背景情况:
- 基于自然的解决方案 (NBS) 正在引起沿海气候适应的兴趣,但与传统工程相比,缺乏严格的评估.
- 对未来气候变化情景进行NBS评估对于其有效实施至关重要.
- 旧金山湾面临着严重的洪水风险,特别是在圣马修县.
研究的目的:
- 根据当前和未来的气候变化情景,量化圣马特奥县沼泽恢复的防洪效益.
- 评估基于自然的沿海适应解决方案的经济价值.
- 确定用于沼泽恢复投资的高收益地区.
主要方法:
- 使用经济分析评估防洪效益.
- 在不同的海平面上升 (SLR) 场景 (0.5米和1米) 下建模沼泽恢复效益.
- 在圣马特奥县内确定适应热点.
主要成果:
- 沼泽恢复提供了2100万美元的现有价值的防洪保护.
- 福利增加到超过1亿美元与0.5米SLR和大约5亿美元与1米SLR.
- 具体的热点显示,在未来条件下,每公的收益达到900万美元.
结论:
- 沼泽恢复是沿海气候适应的具有成本效益的基于自然的解决方案.
- 投资于自然和社区性,随着气候变化影响的升级,投资回报越来越高.
- 优先考虑像圣马特奥县这样的脆弱地区的沼泽恢复,可以显著提高适应能力并减少洪水风险.
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