一个共同的区域外国直接投资和产出增长的空间计量经济模型
Tamás Krisztin1,2, Philipp Piribauer3
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Laxenburg Austria.
概括
这项研究表明,外国直接投资 (FDI) 和区域经济增长是相互关联的. 忽视这种关系,尤其是人力资本.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 区域科学 地区科学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 外国直接投资 (FDI) 是经济增长的关键驱动力.
- 了解外国直接投资和产出增长之间的动态对于区域发展至关重要.
- 以前的研究往往忽略了涉及的空间相互依赖和内生关系.
研究的目的:
- 研究欧洲地区的外国直接投资和产出增长的联合动态.
- 分析区域人力资本资助对这种关系的影响.
- 突出考虑空间溢出效应和内生效应的重要性.
主要方法:
- 使用一个空间增强的方程系统建模框架.
- 将第三地区和溢出效应纳入分析.
- 采用风格化的预测练习来评估长期影响.
主要成果:
- 这项研究证实了外国直接投资和区域产出增长之间的重要联合动态.
- 区域人力资本在这种内生关系中起着至关重要的作用.
- 长期影响在东欧地区和首都城市尤其明显.
结论:
- 必须明确说明外国直接投资与区域经济表现之间的内生关系.
- 忽视这些动态会扭曲传输机制,影响政策的有效性.
- 决策者在制定区域发展战略时必须考虑空间溢出效应和人力资本.
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