新兴市场经济体的ICT透率和预期寿命:来自不对称因果关系分析的小组证据
Yilmaz Bayar1, Ahmet Ozen2, Mahmut Unsal Sasmaz3
1Bandirma Onyedi Eylul University, Balikesir, Türkiye. yilmazbayar@yahoo.com.
BMC public health
|March 27, 2024
概括
信息和通信技术 (ICT) 指标对新兴经济体的预期寿命产生重大影响. 移动订阅和互联网使用是提高公共健康和寿命的关键工具.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 信息和通信技术信息和通信技术
背景情况:
- 预期寿命是公共卫生和可持续发展的关键指标,影响经济和社会政策.
- 有限的研究已经探索了ICT透率和预期寿命之间的双向关系,通常只关注ICT对寿命的影响.
- 现有的研究主要使用回归分析,忽视了预期寿命对ICT采用的影响.
研究的目的:
- 研究ICT指标与新兴市场经济体的预期寿命之间的因果关系.
- 通过使用先进的因果关系方法,探索ICT透率和预期寿命之间的双向相互作用.
- 解决关于ICT和预期寿命的相互影响的经验文献上的差距.
主要方法:
- 利用对称和不对称的因果关系方法来分析1997年至2020年间新兴市场经济体的数据.
- 使用不对称的因果关系测试来揭示ICT指标和预期寿命之间的复杂和潜在的隐藏关系.
- 研究了特定的ICT指标 (移动订阅,互联网使用) 与预期寿命之间的定向因果关系.
主要成果:
- 对称因果关系测试揭示了移动订阅与预期寿命之间的双向联系,以及预期寿命与互联网使用之间的单向关系.
- 不对称的因果关系测试表明,由于积极的冲击,在几个国家 (中国,哥伦比亚,捷克,埃及,希腊,印度,科威特,土耳其) 的移动订阅和预期寿命之间存在单向关系.
- 所有国家都观察到互联网使用和预期寿命之间的双向因果相互作用,受到正面和负面冲击的影响.
结论:
- 信息和通信技术指标明显影响新兴市场经济体的预期寿命.
- 互联网使用和移动设备的普及是改善公共健康和增加预期寿命的重要工具.
- 利用ICT进行的政策干预可以有助于改善人口健康结果和寿命.
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