根据气候变化,侵袭性物种 Pseudococcus viburni (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) 的全球潜在分布
Jiufeng Wei1, Minmin Niu1, Hanxi Zhang2
1College of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, China.
Insects
|March 27, 2024
概括
这项研究使用气候数据预测了害虫*P.viburni*的潜在传播. 适合息地预计将增加,突出需要加强害虫监测和隔离措施.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 虫害管理 虫害管理 虫害管理
背景情况:
- 没有充分了解P. viburni的分布和管理.
- 气候变化可能会影响入侵物种的地理范围.
研究的目的:
- 在各种气候变化场景下预测P.viburni的潜在分布.
- 确定影响P. viburni*分布的关键环境因素.
- 为P. viburni的管理和隔离策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用历史分布数据和环境因素.
- 采用MaxEnt (最大) 建模来预测合适的息地.
- 分析了气候变化场景,以评估未来的分布.
主要成果:
- 最冷季度的降雨量 (Bio19),降雨季节性 (Bio15) 和最潮湿季度的平均温度 (Bio8) 是关键的环境决定因素.
- 潜在的适合地区包括中国南部,日本,北美,南美,欧洲,非洲中部和澳大利亚.
- 预计未来适合P. viburni息地的总面积将会扩大.
结论:
- 预计适合P. viburni的息地将在全球范围内增加.
- 加强监测和检疫措施,特别是在南方港口,对于防止害虫传播和传播至关重要.
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