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大型城市转型:气候变化预计将推动城市物种大量流失
Alessandro Filazzola1,2, Marc T J Johnson1,3, Kimberly Barrett4
1Centre for Urban Environments, University of Toronto Mississauga, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
PloS one
|March 27, 2024
概括
气候变化将导致北美城市的城市野生动物发生重大变化,数千种物种将消失. 我们减轻气候变化的行动将决定这些对生物多样性和人类经验的影响的严重程度.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
- 城市生态城市生态学
背景情况:
- 人与自然的互动对于文化,经济和健康方面至关重要.
- 人为气候变化正在推动全球生物多样性的重大转变.
- 城市野生动物种群也受到这些环境变化的影响.
研究的目的:
- 在60个加拿大和美国城市模拟气候变化对陆地野生动物的影响.
- 预测城市环境中物种对气候变化的具体反应.
- 评估野生动物组成"大城市转变"的潜力.
主要方法:
- 模拟了气候变化对2000多种动物的预期影响.
- 分析了不同气候场景下在选定的城市地区的物种分布变化.
- 评估了各种温室气体排放场景中预测转移的一致性.
主要成果:
- 有证据表明,一个重大的"大城市转变"即将到来,许多物种可能会从城市中消失.
- 影响是物种特异性的,两动物,犬类和类被确定为特别易受影响的种类.
- 预测的转变在所有排放场景中保持一致,突出显示了变化的不可避免性.
结论:
- 城市野生动物转型的程度取决于人类减轻气候变化的努力.
- 这种即将发生的转变将深刻影响人类的文化体验,生态系统服务和人与自然的关系.
- 迫切需要采取气候行动,以缓解城市生物多样性变化的严重程度.
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