探索保护区社会影响的空间变异的方法论方法:贝叶斯回归建模方法的相互比较和潜在的影响
Chrysovalantis Malesios1, Nikoleta Jones1, Alfie Begley1
1Institute for Global Sustainable Development, The Ramphal Building, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
|March 29, 2024
概括
保护区 (PAs) 对当地福祉产生影响. 这项研究表明,居民的位置影响所感知的社会影响,突出了需要在PA规划空间分析.
科学领域:
- 环境社会科学 环境社会科学
- 保护规划 保护规划
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 保护区对于生物多样性保护和社会经济发展至关重要.
- 研究越来越多地检查PA对福祉,生计和自然连接的社会影响.
- 对于评估这些社会影响在PA内部的空间分布而言,强大的方法论存在差距.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较贝叶斯空间回归模型来评估PA中感知到的社会影响.
- 探索当地居民位置与他们对社会影响的看法之间的关系.
- 为了解决了解PA内部社会影响的空间分布的研究缺口.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自英国峰区国家公园附近227个人的初级数据.
- 雇佣了结构化问卷以收集有关感知到的社会影响的数据.
- 比较贝叶斯空间回归模型,并使用Bootstrap子采样进行验证.
主要成果:
- 受访者的位置显著影响对社会影响的看法.
- 在PA内,邻近的社区往往对社会影响有着相似的看法.
- 附近居民之间的空间效应更强烈,例如邻居.
结论:
- 了解感知到的社会影响的空间聚类对于PA管理和缓解至关重要.
- 需要新的方法方法来准确地进行PA地区社会影响的空间评估.
- 这些发现有助于实践者在设计PA边界时考虑社会影响分布以及生态和经济因素.
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