在下水道网络中发现疫情:在网络的不确定性下,一个适应性抽样方案
José Baboun1, Isabelle S Beaudry2, Luis M Castro3
1Facultad de Matemáticas y Facultad de Ingeniería, Institute for Mathematical and Computational Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago 7820436, Chile.
概括
这项研究引入了一种新的数学框架,用于精确地确定废水网络中的COVID-19爆发,即使有不完整的网络数据. 适应性采样方法确保了准确的爆发检测,尽管网络的不确定性.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 数学建模的数学建模
背景情况:
- 污水监测对于监测COVID-19等传染病至关重要.
- 网络结构的不确定性给准确的疫情局部化带来了挑战.
研究的目的:
- 开发数学和算法工具,用于识别在不确定的下水道网络中爆发的位置.
- 为了实现适应性,日复一日的抽样,以有效地检测疫情爆发.
主要方法:
- 提出了在不确定的网络中适应性抽样的框架.
- 用于测试顺序节点的启发式策略.
- 在真实和合成网络数据上验证模型.
主要成果:
- 尽管网络不确定性,但已实现感染节点的唯一检测.
- 证明网络不确定性只会轻微增加检测时间.
- 展示了该方法的实际适用性.
结论:
- 开发的框架有效地将废水系统中的疫情局部化.
- 适应性采样为不确定的网络条件提供了可靠的解决方案.
- 该方法在现实世界公共卫生监测中具有实用性.
相关概念视频
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
126
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
126
Sampling Plans
181
Sampling is a crucial step in analytical chemistry, allowing researchers to collect representative data from a large population. Common sampling methods include random, judgmental, systematic, stratified, and cluster sampling.
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
181
Systematic Sampling Method
10.3K
Sampling is a technique to select a portion (or subset) of the larger population and study that portion (the sample) to gain information about the population. Data are the result of sampling from a population. The sampling method ensures that samples are drawn without bias and accurately represent the population. Because measuring the entire population in a study is not practical, researchers use samples to represent the population of interest.
Systematic sampling is one of the simplest methods...
Systematic sampling is one of the simplest methods...
10.3K
Sampling Methods: Sample Types
218
Sampling materials are classified into three main types: solid, liquid, and gas.
Solid samples include a variety of substances, such as sediments from water bodies, soil, metals, and biological tissues. Two standard methods for extracting sediments from water bodies are grab sampling and piston coring. Grab sampling involves using a device to collect a discrete sediment sample from the bottom of a water body with minimal disturbance. Grab samples do not always represent the entire area due to...
Solid samples include a variety of substances, such as sediments from water bodies, soil, metals, and biological tissues. Two standard methods for extracting sediments from water bodies are grab sampling and piston coring. Grab sampling involves using a device to collect a discrete sediment sample from the bottom of a water body with minimal disturbance. Grab samples do not always represent the entire area due to...
218
Cluster Sampling Method
11.9K
Appropriate sampling methods ensure that samples are drawn without bias and accurately represent the population. Because measuring the entire population in a study is not practical, researchers use samples to represent the population of interest.
To choose a cluster sample, divide the population into clusters (groups) and then randomly select some of the clusters. All the members from these clusters are in the cluster sample. For example, if you randomly sample four departments from your...
To choose a cluster sample, divide the population into clusters (groups) and then randomly select some of the clusters. All the members from these clusters are in the cluster sample. For example, if you randomly sample four departments from your...
11.9K
Contaminants and Errors
89
Effective sample preparation is crucial for accurate and reliable laboratory analysis. During this process, two significant sources of error can arise: concentration bias from improper sample splitting and contamination caused by methods used to reduce particle size, such as grinding or homogenization. Identifying and minimizing these potential errors is crucial to ensuring the validity of the analysis.
Another key consideration is determining the appropriate number of samples required to...
Another key consideration is determining the appropriate number of samples required to...
89


