澳大利亚缺血性中风的当前和未来成本负担:动态模型
Tamrat Befekadu Abebe1, Jenni Ilomaki2, Adam Livori2,3
1Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, tamrat.abebe@monash.edu.
Neuroepidemiology
|April 1, 2024
概括
缺血性中风 (IS) 对澳大利亚造成了巨大的经济负担,预计在20年内,医疗保健成本将达到477亿澳元. 慢性管理占这些大量成本的大部分.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 脑卒中是澳大利亚疾病和死亡的主要原因.
- 估计缺血性中风 (IS) 的经济影响对于医疗保健规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计澳大利亚缺血性中风 (IS) 目前和未来的财务负担.
- 预测与IS相关的医疗保健总成本在20年内.
主要方法:
- 利用维多利亚州公立和私立医院 (2012年7月至2017年6月) 的数据计算每人每年慢性病管理费用.
- 将维多利亚时代的数据推广到整个澳大利亚人口 (30-99岁).
- 采用动态多状态生命表模型,预测从2019年到2038年的医疗保健总成本 (急性和慢性).
主要成果:
- 估计每人每年慢性治疗费用为13525澳元,随着时间的推移而下降.
- 澳大利亚IS (30-99年) 的总医疗费用预计为477亿澳元 (2019-2038).
- 慢性管理占总预计成本的91.3% (436亿澳元),急性事件占8.7% (420亿澳元).
结论:
- 缺血性中风 (IS) 将在未来二十年内继续对澳大利亚医疗保健系统产生相当大的财务影响.
- 该研究的成本负担估计提供了关于IS管理和预防的知情决策的重要数据.
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