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自然灾害和生育偏好:印尼海的证据
1Economics, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Korea.
Biodemography and social biology
|April 2, 2024
概括
自然灾害可能会通过加强传统价值观来增加理想的儿童数量. 在印度尼西亚海幸存者中观察到生育偏好的这种转变,特别是那些宗教信仰较高的人.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 灾害研究 灾害研究
背景情况:
- 自然灾害对社会产生重大影响,但它们对生育偏好的影响仍未得到充分研究.
- 以前的研究集中在生育结果上,忽视了所需家庭规模的基本变化.
研究的目的:
- 通过促进传统价值观,调查自然灾害是否影响生育偏好.
- 探索灾难可能改变个体所希望的孩子数量的机制.
主要方法:
- 利用了对10700名15岁以上的个人进行的纵向调查,在印尼阿切和苏门答腊北部进行了海后的调查.
- 使用个人级别的横截面回归来分析海破坏程度和生育偏好之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 理想的儿童数量随着海对受灾地区的破坏程度的增加而增加.
- 这种生育偏好的增加在灾后宗教信仰较高和家庭关系较强的个人中更为显著.
- 研究结果表明,生育偏好转变与传统价值观的强化之间存在联系.
结论:
- 自然灾害可能导致对生育的文化态度的持久变化,超越了立即的救援需求.
- 决策者在处理灾后恢复时应该考虑这些文化态度的转变.
- 需要进一步的研究来探索自然灾害和生育偏好之间的动态关系.
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