5分钟的时间试验自行车测试是最大氧气摄入量的有效预测吗? 一个外部交叉验证研究
Fernando Klitzke Borszcz1,2, Artur Ferreira Tramontin1, Ricardo Dantas de Lucas2
1Human Performance Research Group, Center for Health and Sport Sciences, Santa Catarina State University, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil.
概括
预测骑自行车者最大氧气吸收 (V ̇O2max) 的拟议方程低估了实际值. 使用贝叶斯方法的更新方程提高了对更广泛的骑自行车人口的预测准确性.
科学领域:
- 运动生理学 运动生理学
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 准确预测最大氧吸收量 (V ̇O2max) 对于评估骑自行车者的有氧健身至关重要.
- 之前用于V ̇O2max预测的方程需要验证和潜在的更新.
- 从5分钟的计时试验 (RPO5-min) 中将体重正常化的平均功率输出为V ̇O2max的潜在预测器.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用 RPO5-min. 在骑自行车运动中预测 V ̇O2max 的新式方程进行交叉验证.
- 通过纳入贝叶斯信息化先前分布和元分析来更新预测方程.
- 评估男性骑自行车者的预测和实际V ̇O2max之间的一致性.
主要方法:
- 49名男性骑自行车者完成了一次增量分级运动测试,并在静止自行车人体计上进行了5分钟的计时.
- 用贝叶斯的布兰德-阿尔特曼分析来比较实际的V ̇O2max与RPO5-min.的预测.
- 使用贝叶斯信息先验和元分析,更新了V ̇O2max和RPO5-min之间的线性回归.
主要成果:
- RPO5-min方程系统地低估了实际V ̇O2max的-6.6mL·kg-1·min-1.1.
- 95%的一致度限制表明预测准确度的个体差异相当大.
- 将方程与贝叶斯信息先验更新产生了比元分析更好的预测准确性.
结论:
- 使用RPO5-min的V ̇O2max的初始预测方程在研究样本中证明了系统偏差.
- 一个更新的V ̇O2max预测方程,通过使用贝叶斯方法和先前信息来推导,为骑自行车的人提供了更好的概括性.
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