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海洋状况上升:风暴模拟和脆弱性绘制以预测罗德岛关键基础设施的风影响
Samuel Adams1, Austin Becker2, Kyle McElroy1
1University of Rhode Island, Department of Marine Affairs, Kingston, Rhode Island.
Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)
|April 4, 2024
概括
由于气候变化,沿海风暴影响预测具有挑战性. 罗德岛海岸危险建模和预测 (RI-CHAMP) 系统为关键基础设施保护提供了具体的,可操作的数据.
科学领域:
- 环境科学和气候变化的影响.
- 地理信息系统 (GIS) 和空间建模.
- 关键基础设施弹性和紧急情况管理.
背景情况:
- 气候变化使得沿海风暴预测变得复杂,使得历史数据不可靠.
- 传统的脆弱性评估缺乏针对当地应急规划的具体性.
- 社会对关键基础设施 (CI) 的依赖增加了风暴影响的风险.
研究的目的:
- 实施罗德岛海岸危险建模和预测 (RI-CHAMP) 系统.
- 预测风力和洪水对关键基础设施 (CI) 的特定影响.
- 为应急管理人员和利益相关者提供可操作的数据.
主要方法:
- 使用基于地理信息系统 (GIS) 的建模工具 (RI-CHAMP).
- 结合高分辨率风暴模拟与地理位置的漏洞数据.
- 让最终用户参与开发ArcGIS在线仪表板,以获得可操作的见解.
主要成果:
- RI-CHAMP将脆弱性数据与风暴模型相结合,用于预测特定的后果.
- 该系统为关键基础设施提供地理位置影响数据.
- 现实和合成风暴模型展示了应急管理人员的实际应用.
结论:
- 该RI-CHAMP系统提高了对关键基础设施沿海风暴影响的预测.
- 终端用户的参与确保了该工具为缓解提供了具体和可操作的数据.
- 这种方法可以改善当地的应急规划和应对气候变化的弹性.
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