基于自然的解决方案在极端降雨事件下减少洪水风险的潜力
Stella Manes1,2, Mariana M Vale3, Aliny P F Pires4,5
1Graduate Program in Ecology (PPGE/UFRJ), Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Av. Carlos Chagas Filho, 373, Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Bloco A, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 21941-590, Brazil. stellamanes@gmail.com.
Ambio
|April 5, 2024
概括
气候变化增加了极端降雨和洪水风险. 基于自然的解决方案,如重新造林,提供具有成本效益的城市洪水风险降低和副效益,30%的重新造林是最佳的.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 气候适应 气候适应
背景情况:
- 气候变化加剧了极端降雨事件,特别是在热带地区.
- 城市地区洪水风险增加需要有效的气候适应战略.
- 基于自然的解决方案越来越多地被认为是它们在城市弹性方面的潜力.
研究的目的:
- 评估以自然为基础的解决方案对减轻洪水风险的有效性.
- 评估城市环境中不同土地回收场景的成本效益.
- 分析与基于自然的洪水风险降低策略相关的副效益.
主要方法:
- 生态系统服务建模方法用于评估洪水风险.
- 评估了四种土地恢复场景,不同比例的森林再生.
- 实施的场景的成本效益分析及其副效益.
主要成果:
- 所有评估的土地回收场景都显示了洪水风险降低的增加以及土地回收的增加带来的共同利益.
- 一个中间的土地恢复方案,特别是30%的再造林,被确定为最具成本效益的方案.
- 该研究突出显示,随着土地回收比例的增加,益处的增加呈现明显的梯度.
结论:
- 基于自然的解决方案为减少城市洪水风险提供了显著的好处.
- 30%的再造林策略提供了成本效益和洪水减缓之间的最佳平衡.
- 实施以自然为基础的解决方案需要考虑景观规模和利益相关者的需求,以成功实现城市适应.
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