全球和平与健康的货币模式
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran. i.bastanifar@ase.ui.ac.ir.
Globalization and health
|April 9, 2024
概括
全球和平与健康与经济安全息息相关. 由于COVID-19大流行,需要较低的折扣率,因为和平的国家持有较少的货币,从而影响全球稳定的货币政策.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 国际关系 国际关系
背景情况:
- 考察和平,健康和经济后果的交集,借鉴凯恩斯理论.
- 考虑2020年COVID-19全球流行病对这些概念的影响.
研究的目的:
- 扩大对"安全"作为生物冲击期间和平指标的理解.
- 引入一种旨在促进全球和平的新型货币政策模式.
- 在健康危机的背景下重新定义凯恩斯主义的预防动机.
主要方法:
- 计算了折扣率的最佳增长率.
- 使用由COVID-19病例死亡风险 (CFR) 调整的全球和平指数 (GPI).
- 采用动态随机总平衡 (DSGE) 模型与购物时间货币模型.
- 分析了2020年15个国内生产总值最高的国家和10个最/最不和平的国家的数据.
主要成果:
- 在更和平,更健康的国家的家庭持有更少的钱.
- 由于COVID-19的爆发和经济和平的减少,折扣率需要降低.
- 确定国家和平水平,健康安全和家庭财务行为之间的相关性.
结论:
- 对健康和和平政策不足的罚款可能会增加流动性成本.
- 对于那些健康和和平战略不佳的国家来说,替代性融资方法变得更加可行.
- 强调国家政策决策对全球金融稳定的经济影响.
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