人类球菌病的流行率和空间分布特征:在中国新疆南部的县级建模研究
Yue Zhang1, Jun Wu1, Simayi Adili2
1Department of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China.
Heliyon
|April 10, 2024
概括
在新疆南部的人类球菌病表明有关空间聚类. 发病率增加到2017年,然后下降,突出了针对这一动物传播疾病的有针对性的控制策略的需要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 人类 echinococcosis 是一个重要的全球公共卫生问题.
- 这种疾病在像中国新疆南部这样的特有地区带来了相当大的负担.
研究的目的:
- 分析新疆南部人类球菌病例的流行率和空间分布.
- 从2005年到2021年,确定与球菌分布相关的趋势和风险因素.
主要方法:
- 利用国家传染病报告系统获取病例数据.
- 用于趋势分析的就业结合点回归.
- 进行了空间自相关性,热点和时空聚类分析.
主要成果:
- 报告了4580例病例,年平均发病率为2.56/100,000.
- 从2005年至2017年,观察到发病率上升的趋势,随后从2017年至2021年减少.
- 在特定县确定了显著的空间自相关性和独特的疾病热点和集群.
结论:
- 球菌仍然是新疆南部的一个关键的动物性寄生虫病.
- 该研究证实了显著的空间聚类,需要量身定制的预防和控制措施.
- 综合性战略对于有效管理和减少球菌疫情至关重要.
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