随着SARS-CoV-2的出现,儿科呼吸道同胞性病毒病例数量的增加可能归因于测试的变化
Brittany A Petros1,2,3,4, Carly E Milliren5, Pardis C Sabeti1,6,7,8
1Infectious Disease and Microbiome Program, Broad Institute of Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
概括
儿童呼吸道同胞性病毒 (RSV) 病例数量的增加很可能是由于更多的测试,而不是病毒传播的增加. 这挑战了"债务豁免"理论,并强调了动态监控需求.
科学领域:
- 儿童传染病 儿童传染病
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 病毒学 病毒学
背景情况:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,呼吸道同胞性病毒 (RSV) 循环减少.
- 随后观察到RSV病例的复苏,导致RSV病例的复苏.
- 豁免权债务 豁免权债务
- 这是一个假设,表明易受影响的儿童人口增加.
- 改变诊断实践在这种感知激增中的作用仍然不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 评估改变检测实践对观察到的呼吸道同胞病毒 (RSV) 病例数量和患者人口统计学的影响.
- 评估疫情期间RSV疾病严重程度的变化 (住院治疗,重症监护,机械通风).
主要方法:
- 在美国32家儿科医院 (2013-2023) 进行了342,530次RSV接触和980,546次RSV诊断测试的多中心追溯分析.
- 间断时间序列分析,以评估RSV患者和测试量中的流行病相关变化.
- 在病例数和患者年龄中,由于测试的变化而导致的轮班比例的量化.
主要成果:
- 与大流行前水平相比,2021-2023年,RSV患者数量增加了2.4倍,RSV测试数量增加了18.9倍.
- 患者体积和年龄分布的变化主要归因于诊断测试的增加.
- 需要住院,重症监护或机械通风的患者比例在所有年龄组显著下降.
结论:
- 从2021-2023年观察到RSV病例数量的增加可能是由于诊断测试的激增,不一定是病毒循环增加.
- 这些发现需要重新评估该研究的结果.
- 豁免权债务 豁免权债务
- 一个假设. 假设.
- 动态监控策略必须考虑到测试分母的变化.
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