COVID-19对公共交通工具可访问性和乘客数量的影响
Michael Wilbur1, Afiya Ayman2, Amutheezan Sivagnanam2
1Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN.
Transportation research record
|April 11, 2024
概括
随着COVID-19大流行,公共交通的乘客数量大幅减少,移动模式的恢复速度比步行交通慢. 社会经济因素,如教育水平,影响了运输变化,影响了固定线路和准运输服务.
科学领域:
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 运输科学 运输科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19极大地改变了城市旅行,影响了运输机构的收入和服务提供.
- 限制后,运输机构面临的挑战是适应不断变化的乘客行为和使用模式.
研究的目的:
- 量化COVID-19对固定线公共交通运输乘客数量及其与车辆旅行的关系的影响.
- 分析乘客模式的变化及其在限制后的潜在持久性.
- 在乘客变化中识别社会经济和与流动性相关的差异.
主要方法:
- 利用纳什维尔和田纳西州查塔努加的匿名移动位置数据,将乘客需求与移动模式进行比较.
- 使用相关性分析和多重线性回归来检查社会经济指标对运输乘客的影响.
- 在COVID-19大流行之前和期间,分析了对准运输需求的变化.
主要成果:
- 在疫情爆发的第一个月内,乘客人数下降了66% (纳什维尔) 和65% (查塔努加).
- 在查塔努加,2020年4月至6月期间,步行者交通恢复速度超过了交通乘客的恢复速度.
- 教育水平显著影响了固定线路公共汽车运输变化; 准运输需求转移反映了固定线路运输.
结论:
- COVID-19引发了城市交通乘客数量的显著,持续的转变,恢复率各不相同.
- 社会经济因素和流动性障碍造成了交通运输获取和使用的差异.
- 过境机构必须制定适应性战略,以应对变化的流动模式,并确保公平的服务提供.
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