季节性缺氧和应对气候变化的长期发展:在日本阿里亚克海进行了长达三十年的建模研究
Lin Hao1, Ai Sanada1, Baixin Chi2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
The Science of the total environment
|April 14, 2024
概括
气候变化正在加剧日本阿里亚克海的缺氧或低氧水平. 由于极端降雨而增加的河流排水是这些有害的海洋生态系统事件的主要驱动因素.
科学领域:
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 低氧,定义为溶解氧 (DO) 低于3mg/L,在Ariake海的持续时间和空间覆盖面正在增加.
- 这种现象与气候变化带来的放大极端降雨事件有关,对海洋生态系统构成全球威胁.
研究的目的:
- 确定三十年来阿里亚克海季节性缺氧事件的主要原因.
- 研究环境驱动因素,气候变化和缺氧发生之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 使用了一般的三维 (3D) 水力动力沿海模型.
- 采用基于植物浮游生物的生态系统模型来模拟多年来的环境因素.
主要成果:
- 从1992年到2021年,观察到底部DO水平大幅下降.
- 缺氧面积增加了8公里2/年,无氧面积扩大到100平方公里.
- 增加的河流排水被确定为关键因素,与低氧持续时间 (r=0.560.82) 密切相关.
结论:
- 由于气候变化引起的极端降雨导致河流排放量增加,是阿里亚克海中缺氧的主要原因.
- 阿里亚克海因气候变化影响而易受物理和水质状况下降的影响.
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