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暴力风险表-性犯罪版本在社区性犯罪门诊机构的有效性和可靠性
Farron E Wielinga1, Mark E Olver2
1Lifemark Health Group.
Psychological assessment
|April 15, 2024
概括
暴力风险尺度-性犯罪版本 (VRS-SO) 准确地预测了社区样本中的性犯罪复发率. 这种风险评估工具在治疗规划中表现出强大的心理测量特性.
科学领域:
- 法医心理学 法医心理学
- 临床心理学 临床心理学
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
背景情况:
- 准确的风险评估对于管理性犯罪的个人至关重要.
- 暴力风险尺度-性犯罪版本 (VRS-SO) 是评估性犯罪复发风险的工具.
- 在社区样本中评估风险评估工具的心理特征是必不可少的.
研究的目的:
- 在基于社区的样本中检查VRS-SO的融合,结构和预测有效性.
- 将VRS-SO的预测准确度与其他风险评估工具 (如STABLE 2007和SOTIPS) 进行比较.
- 评估VRS-SO在预测性和非性犯罪复发中的有用性.
主要方法:
- 这项研究涉及200名因性犯罪而受到社区监督的男性.
- 来自诊所档案和警察记录的档案数据被用来编码风险指标和捕捉重犯.
- 统计分析包括确认因素分析,歧视分析 (AUC) 和考克斯回归生存分析.
主要成果:
- VRS-SO得分显示了与其他风险指标的预期趋同.
- 与STABLE 2007一起的VRS-SO动态和总得分,显示出对5年性复发的强有力的预测 (AUCs = .71-.72).
- 在控制静态风险因素时,VRS-SO得分逐步预测性复发.
结论:
- 这些发现支持VRS-SO用于社区门诊样本的心理测量特性.
- VRS-SO是性暴力风险评估和治疗规划的宝贵工具.
- 该研究强调了动态风险因素在预测重犯方面的重要性.
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