RPEM:随机的蒙特卡洛参数期望最大化算法
Rong Chen1,2, Alan Schumitzky2,3, Alona Kryshchenko4
1Certara, Inc., Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology
|April 16, 2024
概括
一个新的随机参数预期最大化 (RPEM) 算法,灵感来自量子蒙特卡洛方法,提供快速和准确的参数估计. 它的性能与复杂的药理动力学模型的现有方法相提并论.
科学领域:
- 药物指标 (Pharmacometrics) 是一个指标.
- 计算统计学 计算统计学
- 数字分析 数字分析
背景情况:
- 准确的人口参数估计在药量计学中对于了解药物行为至关重要.
- 像重要抽样 (IMP),随机近似预期最大化 (SAEM) 和准随机参数预期最大化 (QRPEM) 这样的现有方法都有局限性.
- 大都会-哈斯廷斯算法为抽样复杂概率分布提供了一个强大的框架.
研究的目的:
- 介绍一种新的蒙特卡洛参数预期最大化 (MCPEM) 算法,称为随机参数预期最大化 (RPEM).
- 在速度和准确性方面,评估RPEM的性能与已建立的方法 (IMP,SAEM,QRPEM) 相比.
- 为了证明RPEM在药理动力学模型中的参数估计的实用性.
主要方法:
- 通过集成离散和连续变量采样来开发RPEM,使用Metropolis-Hastings算法,灵感来自量子蒙特卡洛方法.
- 将RPEM与NONMEM的IMP,Monolix的SAEM和Certara的QRPEM进行了比较.
- 利用一个现实的两voriconazole模型与普通微分方程和模拟数据进行评估.
主要成果:
- 在重建人口参数方面,RPEM的速度和准确性与IMP,SAEM和QRPEM相美.
- 该算法证明对正常和日志正常参数分布有效.
- RPEM成功估计了复杂的voriconazole药理动力学模型的参数.
结论:
- RPEM是一种快速,准确和高性能算法,用于蒙特卡洛参数预期最大化.
- 新的RPEM算法为人口药理动力学分析的现有方法提供了可行的替代方案.
- 在量子蒙特卡洛原理中建立RPEM的基础表明,在复杂的建模场景中可能有更广泛的应用.
相关概念视频
Randomized Experiments
6.9K
The randomization process involves assigning study participants randomly to experimental or control groups based on their probability of being equally assigned. Randomization is meant to eliminate selection bias and balance known and unknown confounding factors so that the control group is similar to the treatment group as much as possible. A computer program and a random number generator can be used to assign participants to groups in a way that minimizes bias.
Simple randomization
Simple...
Simple randomization
Simple...
6.9K
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
53
Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
53
Random Sampling Method
11.1K
Sampling is a technique to select a portion (or subset) of the larger population and study that portion (the sample) to gain information about the population. Data are the result of sampling from a population. The sampling method ensures that samples are drawn without bias and accurately represent the population. Because measuring the entire population in a study is not practical, researchers use samples to represent the population of interest. Among the various sampling methods used by...
11.1K
Random Variables
11.8K
A random variable is a single numerical value that indicates the outcome of a procedure. The concept of random variables is fundamental to the probability theory and was introduced by a Russian mathematician, Pafnuty Chebyshev, in the mid-nineteenth century.
Uppercase letters such as X or Y denote a random variable. Lowercase letters like x or y denote the value of a random variable. If X is a random variable, then X is written in words, and x is given as a number.
For example, let X = the...
Uppercase letters such as X or Y denote a random variable. Lowercase letters like x or y denote the value of a random variable. If X is a random variable, then X is written in words, and x is given as a number.
For example, let X = the...
11.8K
Expected Value
3.9K
The expected value is known as the "long-term" average or mean. This means that over the long term of experimenting over and over, you would expect this average. The expected average is represented by the symbol μ. It is calculated as follows:
3.9K
One-Compartment Open Model: Wagner-Nelson and Loo Riegelman Method for ka Estimation
487
This lesson introduces two critical methods in pharmacokinetics, the Wagner-Nelson and Loo-Riegelman methods, used for estimating the absorption rate constant (ka) for drugs administered via non-intravenous routes. The Wagner-Nelson method relates ka to the plasma concentration derived from the slope of a semilog percent unabsorbed time plot. However, it is limited to drugs with one-compartment kinetics and can be impacted by factors like gastrointestinal motility or enzymatic degradation.
On...
On...
487


