意大利:朝着有利于增长的财政改革迈进
Michal Andrle1, Shafik Hebous1, Alvar Kangur1
1International Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, 20341 Washington, DC USA.
概括
意大利2020年财政计划需要采取具体措施. 这项研究提出削减开支和税收改革,以减少公共债务,支持经济复苏,并尽量减少短期成本.
科学领域:
- 公共财政是公共财政.
- 财政政策 财政政策
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 意大利2017年中期财政计划的目标是到2020年实现结构平衡.
- 该计划缺乏具体的,高质量的措施来实现目标.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定潜在的支出削减.
- 评估意大利的养老金制度.
- 分析收入再平衡的机会.
- 提出有利于增长的财政调整方案.
主要方法:
- 对公共支出模式的分析.
- 评估养老金制度对财政的影响.
- 评估产生收入和再平衡选项.
- 财政整合场景的建模.
主要成果:
- 确定了潜在的政府支出节省的领域.
- 评估了养老金体系的财政可持续性.
- 确定了税收收入再平衡的范围.
- 制定了一套财政措施.
结论:
- 拟议的一子削减开支和税收改革可以减少公共债务.
- 财政整合可以有利于增长和包容.
- 措施可以限制短期的经济产出成本.
- 财政调整支持经济复苏,减少脆弱性.
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