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20年来关税改革对埃及工人的不对称影响
Giorgia Giovannetti1,2, Enrico Marvasi1, Arianna Vivoli1
1Università di Firenze, Via delle Pandette 32, 50127 Florence, Italy.
概括
埃及 埃及 埃及 埃及
科学领域:
- 劳动经济学 劳动经济学
- 国际贸易政策 国际贸易政策
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
背景情况:
- 埃及经历了20多年的贸易自由化,随后是2008年金融危机和2011年春季革命加剧的结构性问题.
- 2016年,埃及开始保护某些部门免受外国竞争,标志着贸易政策的转变.
- 在1998-2018年期间,在埃及不断变化的经济格局中,出现了重大关税改革.
研究的目的:
- 评估1998年至2018年间埃及关税改革对劳动力市场的影响.
- 分析对实际工资和就业稳定的影响 (永久职位).
- 调查关税增加与降低对关税增加和降低影响的不对称性.
主要方法:
- 利用埃及劳动力市场小组调查 (ELMPS) 的四个波段的工人级数据,包括2018年的波段.
- 进行实证分析,重点关注实际工资和确保稳定就业的可能性.
- 研究了关税保护变化与劳动力市场结果之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 更高的关税保护与劳动力市场状况恶化有关,包括较低的实际工资和减少的就业稳定性.
- 关税上调与实际工资有显著的负相关性.
- 降低关税对工资和就业稳定产生了微不足道且微不足道的积极影响.
结论:
- 埃及的保护主义政策对劳动条件产生了负面影响,并导致不平等加剧.
- 在研究期间,贸易自由化措施并没有显著改善劳动力市场状况.
- 调查结果表明,保护主义阻碍了埃及工人,而自由化没有提供明显的好处.
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