使用机会性数据解释COVID-19期间的需求模式:慕尼黑市的一个案例研究
Vishal Mahajan1, Guido Cantelmo1, Constantinos Antoniou1
1Chair of Transportation Systems Engineering, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, Arcisstrasse 21, Munich, 80333 Germany.
概括
随着COVID-19的封锁,感兴趣点 (POI) 的受欢迎程度发生了重大变化. 像POI类型和停车距离这样的空间因素与需求变化有很强的相关性,影响城市交通规划.
科学领域:
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 运输科学 运输科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19大流行,人们的日常生活发生了变化,影响了消费者行为和移动模式.
- 对危机期间的运输规划者来说,分析点需求 (POI) 需求的变化至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析COVID-19封锁之前和期间POI需求模式中空间因素的作用.
- 在疫情期间建模POI受欢迎程度和空间/非空间属性之间的相关性.
主要方法:
- 利用POI访问数据和公开可用的数据集进行慕尼黑的案例研究.
- 开发了回归模型,将锁定作为假变量用于评估属性相关性.
主要成果:
- 停止距离和每周一天始终解释了POI的受欢迎程度.
- 锁定状态,POI类型,停车距离和周日之间的相互作用是显著的.
- 停车面积的相关性仅在非线性模型中显而易见.
结论:
- 由于COVID-19的限制,POI的受欢迎程度受到显著影响,POI类型和停车距离显示出强烈的相关性.
- 这些发现突显了在破坏性事件期间移动模式的局部和时间变化.
- 结果为应对未来危机的适应性运输服务战略提供信息.
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