估计每日复苏病例在埃及的COVID-19使用权力奇数概括指数级罗马克斯分布
Hanem Mohamed1, Salwa A Mousa2, Amina E Abo-Hussien2
1Faculty of Commerce, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt.
概括
这项研究统计分析了2020年3月至8月埃及COVID-19恢复数据. 它应用了一个新的分布来估计了解冠状病毒恢复趋势的关键参数.
科学领域:
- 统计 统计 统计 统计
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学建模的数学建模
背景情况:
- COVID-19显著影响了全球经济和商业.
- 对恢复数据的统计分析对于理解流行病动态至关重要.
- 在研究期间,埃及经历了大量的冠状病毒病例.
研究的目的:
- 为了统计分析埃及的COVID-19康复病例.
- 介绍和研究一个功率奇数概括指数罗马克斯分布的属性.
- 使用可靠的统计方法估计模型参数.
主要方法:
- 应用一个奇数乘数的概括指数级罗马克斯分布.
- 使用最大概率和间距方法的最大产物进行参数估计.
- 导出95%的非对称置信区间.
- 进行模拟研究以评估估计行为.
主要成果:
- 该研究使用COVID-19恢复数据成功估计了拟议分布的参数.
- 这些方法证明了适合于现实世界数据分析的数值行为.
- 置信区间为参数估计提供了一种不确定性度量.
结论:
- 权奇偶概括指数级罗马克斯分布是分析COVID-19恢复数据的可行模型.
- 应用的估计技术对于流行病学研究中的参数估计是有效的.
- 这种统计方法为埃及的冠状病毒恢复模式提供了洞察力.
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