COVID-19政策是否影响移动行为? 来自75个加拿大和美国城市的证据
David A Armstrong1, Matthew J Lebo1, Jack Lucas2
1University of Western Ontario.
概括
积极的COVID-19政策对75个加拿大和美国城市的流动性产生了重大影响. 研究人员发现,政策对行为有很强的影响,两国之间的差异很小,为城市政策研究提供了洞察力.
科学领域:
- 城市政策与公共卫生
- 流行病学和生物统计学
- 流行病的社会经济影响
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19大流行,需要在不同治理层面迅速实施各种公共卫生政策.
- 了解政策侵略性对人口行为的差异性影响对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
- 对加拿大和美国等国家之间的政策有效性的比较分析可以揭示可概括的见解.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一种新的指标来量化加拿大和美国城市COVID-19政策的侵略性.
- 估计这些多层次政策对城市流动模式的因果关系.
- 为了比较加拿大和美国城市环境中的政策-流动性关系.
主要方法:
- 构建一个独特的数据集,涵盖75个城市的5个市政和11个省/州COVID-19政策指标.
- 制定每日"侵略性"评分,整合省/州和市政政策干预措施的组合.
- 应用动态时间序列模型来评估政策积极性对城市级移动数据的滞后影响.
主要成果:
- 显著的证据表明,COVID-19政策的侵略性强烈影响了随后的移动行为.
- 分析显示,在加拿大和美国城市之间,政策对流动性的影响很少有实质性的差异.
- 该研究强调了流动性对政策干预的敏感性,无论国家背景如何.
结论:
- 开发的政策积极性测量有效地捕捉了多层次治理对大流行期间公共行为的影响.
- 调查结果强调了政策设计和实施在塑造人口流动性应对卫生危机时的重要性.
- 这项研究为未来的城市政策比较研究提供了有价值的数据,用于复杂的,多管辖区的环境.
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