SPIN-PM:一个共识框架,用于评估预测模型研究中旋转的存在
Constanza L Andaur Navarro1, Johanna A A Damen1, Mona Ghannad1
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Journal of clinical epidemiology
|April 17, 2024
概括
这项研究开发了一个框架,以确定临床预测模型中的旋转实践. 该SPIN预测模型框架有助于改善报告和解释,减少研究浪费.
科学领域:
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 临床流行病学临床流行病学
- 卫生研究方法论 卫生研究方法论
背景情况:
- 研究报告中的旋转可能导致对临床预测模型的误解.
- 目前用于识别旋转的现有方法是有限的,特别是在不同的建模技术之间.
研究的目的:
- 在临床预测模型研究中开发一个全面的框架来识别和评估旋转实践及其促进者.
- 确保临床预测模型的准确报告,解释和推断.
主要方法:
- 一个三阶段的共识过程,涉及一个由八名经验丰富的研究人员组成的小组.
- 包括会议前的文献审查,讨论和反的结构化会议,以及会议后的审查.
- 一个代的共识过程被用来完成框架.
主要成果:
- 达成共识的过程导致了SPIN预测模型框架.
- 该框架将旋转分为误导性解释和误导性可运输性.
- 它进一步定义了旋转实践和促进者,提供了标准和例子.
结论:
- 拟议的SPIN预测模型指南旨在提高临床预测模型的准确报告和解释.
- 预计该框架的实施将提高未来研究报告的质量.
- 本指南将通过促进更可靠的模型推断来帮助减少研究浪费.
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