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Updated: Jun 28, 2025

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Perspectives on Neuroscience
Published on: July 31, 2007
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在一个系统风险,不确定的未来和复杂的治理时代,PEARL的思考
1Department of Development Studies, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Open University, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom.
Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)
|April 18, 2024
概括
这项研究将压力和释放 (PAR) 模型转化为PearL框架,以了解灾难的根本原因. 它强调需要新的方法来解决系统性风险和减少脆弱性的政治障碍.
科学领域:
- 减少灾害风险 减少灾害风险
- 环境社会科学 环境社会科学
- 沿海地区的抗灾能力
背景情况:
- 压力和释放 (PAR) 模型一直是灾难风险研究的基础.
- 沿海地区极端和罕见事件的准备 (PEARL) 项目 (2014-2018) 基于 PAR 模型.
- 现有的框架需要适应,以应对灾难风险的当代挑战.
研究的目的:
- 对灾害风险的根本原因分析框架的演变进行反思.
- 探索机构在推动灾害风险的跨规模互动中的作用.
- 在系统风险和复杂治理的背景下,为根源原因研究提出前性议程.
主要方法:
- 使用PEARL框架对灾害事件的实证分析.
- 文献综述和理论反思根源原因方法.
- 检查影响灾害脆弱性的机构角色和政治因素.
主要成果:
- 佩尔尔框架扩大了对机构在灾害风险中的作用的理解,即使对于小规模事件也是如此.
- 根源原因研究在系统性风险时代面临着认识论和方法论方面的挑战.
- 政治动态对减少脆弱性的行动潜力产生重大影响.
结论:
- 根源原因研究的多元化议程是必要的,整合了对政治的批判性理解.
- 未来的研究必须解决系统性风险,不确定的未来和复杂的治理结构.
- 有效地减少灾害风险需要解决减少脆弱性的政治障碍.
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