使用各种机器学习方法和传统模型,预测大型钻井在地下矿山的透率
Sasan Heydari1, Seyed Hadi Hoseinie2, Raheb Bagherpour1
1Department of Mining Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology, Isfahan, 84156-83111, Iran.
准确预测巨型钻孔透率 (ROP) 是高效地下采矿的关键. 机器学习模型,特别是支持向量回归 (SVR),在使用操作和岩石质量数据估计ROP时显示出高准确性.
科学领域:
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 数据科学在采矿中的数据科学
- 机器学习应用 机器学习应用
背景情况:
- 优化地下采矿操作需要准确估计大型钻孔透率 (ROP).
- 传统方法可能无法完全捕捉影响钻探效率的复杂相互作用.
- 机器学习提供了一种有希望的方法来提高预测准确度.
研究的目的:
- 调查和比较各种回归和机器学习模型的性能,以预测大型钻机ROP.
- 根据运行参数和岩石质量特征,确定估计ROP的最有效模型.
- 验证机器学习算法在地下采矿环境中的预测能力.
主要方法:
- 使用多层感知器 (MLP),支向量回归 (SVR) 和随机森林 (RF) 进行ROP预测.
- 使用岩石质量钻孔能力指数 (RDi),整合完整的岩石和结构性质.
- 将数据集分为80%用于培训和20%用于测试,使用R2,VAF,MAE,MAPE和RMSE评估性能.
主要成果:
- 支持向量回归 (SVR) 在预测ROP方面表现出卓越的表现.
- SVR实现了高精度,R2值为0.94 (训练) 和0.91 (测试).
- 在训练和测试阶段,SVR产生了最低的错误指标 (RMSE,MAE,MAPE) 和最高的VAF.
结论:
- 机器学习算法,特别是SVR,是估计大型钻孔透率的有效和有价值的工具.
- 准确的ROP预测可以在地下采矿中节省大量的成本和时间.
- 该研究验证了先进的数据驱动技术在优化钻探过程中的应用.
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