中国肝癌的死亡负担:2008年至2020年的观察性研究
Huixin Liu1, Xiaoxiao Wang2, Lijun Wang3
1Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Journal of clinical and translational hepatology
|April 19, 2024
概括
中国的肝癌死亡率从2008年到2020年有所下降. 未来的干预措施应针对男性,老年人和农村人口,以进一步减少肝癌死亡人数.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 在瘤学瘤学.
背景情况:
- 肝癌占全球癌症死亡人数的很大一部分.
- 了解当前的死亡率趋势对于中国有效的干预策略至关重要.
- 减少肝癌负担需要有针对性的公共卫生倡议.
研究的目的:
- 分析2008年至2020年中国肝癌死亡率趋势.
- 预测中国未来的肝癌死亡率.
- 为公共卫生政策和对肝癌控制的资源分配提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用中国疾病控制和预防中心疾病监测点系统 (2008-2020) 的数据.
- 按性别,居住地和地区计算的原始和年龄标准化死亡率.
- 使用年平均百分比变化 (AAPC) 和预测未来死亡率的估计趋势.
主要成果:
- 在2020年,原始肝癌死亡率为25.57 / 100,000.
- 在男性,农村居民和特定地区 (中国西南部和东北部) 观察到较高的死亡率.
- 从2008年到2020年,死亡率总体下降,年轻人群的下降速度更快,可能是由于疫苗接种.
结论:
- 中国的肝癌死亡率在2008年至2020年间呈现下降趋势.
- 需要针对男性,老年人和农村或较不发达地区的人进行有针对性的干预.
- 未来的预测表明,肝癌死亡率的下降趋势将继续下降.
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