渔场足迹的决定因素:来自动态空间德宾模型的证据
Milad Aminizadeh1, Hosein Mohammadi1, Alireza Karbasi1
1Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.
Marine pollution bulletin
|April 21, 2024
概括
这项研究揭示了各国渔场足迹的显著空间相关性. 邻近国家 邻近国家
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 全球渔场足迹越来越令人担忧,但邻国之间的空间相互依存性仍未得到充分研究.
- 了解这些空间影响对于有效的渔业管理和保护至关重要.
- 现有的文献缺乏对渔业活动跨境影响的分析.
研究的目的:
- 调查156个国家的渔场足迹的空间相关性.
- 分析经济,环境和人口因素对渔场足迹的直接和间接影响.
- 检查对渔场的短期和长期影响.
主要方法:
- 动态空间德宾模型应用于2001-2021年的数据.
- 对渔场足迹的空间依赖性的分析.
- 检查包括人均GDP,生物能力,贸易开放性,人口和城市化等因素.
主要成果:
- 在各国之间发现了渔场足迹的显著积极空间依赖.
- 在短期和长期分析中验证了环境库兹涅茨曲线假设,与反转的U形状.
- 邻国生物能力和城市化对渔场足迹产生负面影响,而人口直接增加了足迹.
结论:
- 渔场足迹在国家之间表现出显著的空间溢出效应.
- 经济发展最初增加,然后减少,渔场足迹,支持环境库兹内茨曲线.
- 政策干预应考虑跨境合作,以管理共享的渔业资源并减轻环境影响.
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