空气污染的政治影响
Luna Bellani1,2,3, Stefano Ceolotto4, Benjamin Elsner2,5,6
1Department of Economics, Ulm University, Ulm 89081, Germany.
概括
空气污染显著影响投票行为. 选举日高水平的颗粒物 (PM10) 减少了对现任政党的支持,可能是由于负面情绪增加.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 空气污染是一个日益严重的全球性问题,可能会对社会产生影响.
- 了解环境因素如何影响政治决策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查空气污染对德国投票结果的因果关系.
- 探索将空气质量与政治偏好联系在一起的心理机制.
主要方法:
- 分析了60个德国联邦和州选举 (2000-2018).
- 利用县内环境空气污染 (PM10) 的外部变化.
- 将调查结果与民意调查和调查数据进行验证.
主要成果:
- 选举日增加的颗粒物 (PM10) 度会降低现任党的投票份额.
- 在PM10的10μg/m3上升降低了2个百分点 (4%的平均值) 的现有投票份额.
- 糟糕的空气质量与增加的负面情绪 (愤怒,担忧,不快乐) 有关.
结论:
- 空气质量明显影响政治决策和投票行为.
- 污染引发的负面情绪可能会减少对政治现状的支持.
- 环境条件可以对民主进程产生重大,可衡量的影响.
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